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Most Âé¶¹´«Ã½ GBI Components Contracted in May

Four components contracted slightly more than in April, including production, new orders, exports and backlogs.

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The Âé¶¹´«Ã½ GBI closed at 48.3 in May, about the same as April’s 48.0. Overall, Âé¶¹´«Ã½ activity held its own in May despite contraction of most components. Four components contracted slightly more than the month before, including production, new orders, exports and backlog, each nearing a low last seen in December 2022 or January 2023. Supplier deliveries lengthened more slowly again in May while employment expanded again, but at a slightly slower pace.

Separate but related non-GBI metric, future business, expanded again in May, but at a slower rate, similar to that of December 2022.

If April-May trends continue, all components will find their way to contraction in the next three months or so.

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Âé¶¹´«Ã½ GBI in May looks a lot like April, contracting for a third month in a row. Photo Credit: Gardner Intelligence.

Line graph

Production officially contracted in May, along with new orders, exports, and backlog (3-MMA = three-month moving averages). Photo Credit: Gardner Intelligence.

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