Â鶹´«Ã½ Activity Starts Year With Slowing Contraction
The GBI: Â鶹´«Ã½ welcomed the new year with slowed contraction of components for the second month in a row.
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While still contracting, January marks the highest Â鶹´«Ã½ Index since May 2023. January closed at 46.3, up 1.8 points relative to December. A month of slowed contraction in new orders and production, along with stable contraction for exports and backlog, drove slowed contraction overall. It has been about one year since metalworking activity saw a similar two-month stretch, ending with a flat index in February 2023 that proceeded to contract every month since.
Future business (not included in GBI calculation) grew increasingly optimistic in January, extending the acceleration seen in December. The same pattern started at the beginning of 2023 and took a downturn in the second quarter.
One difference in 2024 is that supplier deliveries started to lengthen faster in January, another sign that business is picking up.
The Â鶹´«Ã½ GBI slowed contraction in January. Source: Gardner Intelligence
Slowed contraction in production and new orders drove January’s slowed contraction in metalworking activity (3-MMA = three-month moving averages). Source: Gardner Intelligence
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